In "G.O.P. Governors Swing Right, Leaving Voters Behind," Nate Silver produces a riveting piece of what you might call a statistical pre-autopsy. He plots individual Republican governors' ideological positions with those of their states, and concludes that virtually all of them are electorally endangered.
[T]here is no correlation between the ideology of the governors and the ideology of the states.... This is unusual behavior. Politics 101 would suggest that you need to be at least somewhat responsive to voters in your state.... It suggests that the party has become uninterested in appealing to swing voters — and that the voters are starting to notice.
Retribution from the electorate is a strong possibility unless there is a change of course.
I would only add that logic suggests the same politician-electorate conflict exists in congressional swing districts currently held by Republicans, which poses the selfsame "redistribution from the electorate" -- assuming Democrats don't characteristically cut their own throats by messing with Medicare.