Nate Silver is pitiless:
Of the 19 candidates who led in the polls at this stage since 1936, 18 won the popular vote ... and 17 won the Electoral College....
If you eliminate the candidates with double-digit leads, the front-runner’s record is eight Electoral College wins in 10 tries, or a batting average of 80 percent.
I assume Mr. Romney's staff clips press-pieces for him. If so, I doubt they include Silver's analyses. Stump-sobbing isn't considered one of the more attractive features of a campaign.
I've no doubt, however, that they do include Jenn Rubin's ravings (be hereby advised: this is Jennifer's "psych-check" of the week); especially her latest, which is a hydrophobic screed of Ms. Rubin at her howling finest:
After his "gaffe-ridden Univision interview," yesterday President Obama had a "bad day" on '60 Minutes,' in which he committed "two big blunders," said a "preposterous and grossly insensitive thing," delivered more "insults, snubs and gaffes about Israel," "confessed to being impotent in Washington," projected a "massive ego and overconfidence," and, all in all, uttered "so many eye-popping comments" that "CBS had to put some things on line." Discreetly, I guess. Because CBS is part of "the media’s protective cocoon that contributes to Obama’s [aforementioned] massive ego and overconfidence."
On the other hand, maybe Obama's confidence--overblown or not--comes simply from reading Nate Silver?