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October 18, 2012

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And yet... Romney is up 6 points over Obama in today's Gallop Poll. WTF? Someone talk me down.

I get multiple real estate industry newsletters. According to the industry experts, residential housing is projected for very large sustained growth for the next several years.

2.75:1 over there.

http://www.oddschecker.com/specials/politics-and-election/us-presidential-election/winner

Last night, Ed Rendell posited what my gut tells me and what the RAND polling indicates. The number of undecideds is more like 8-10% and not 1-2%.

You can bet your bottom dollar that the Obama campaign has field tested messages, counter-messages and counter-counter messages to target demographics. It is ludicrous for someone like me to second guess their messaging strategy. It might be flawed, but how would I or Chris Matthews know?

I have a deep faith in Obama's campaign staf - win or lose.

Susan, I am really starting to question Gallup on this. Even Rasmussen only has Romney up two. And that was yesterday's Gallup results. Today's comes out in about 2 hours. I don't expect to see much of a post debate bounce yet, not for about 3-4 days as pre-debate days roll off.

Oh, and in regard to the post's subject. These numbers only mean something if the vast majority of the population knows about them. If they get hidden in the business section, they do no good.

Thanks, japa21.

It turns out that the Gallup Poll numbers were essentially reporting the massive preference for Romney in the South. Obama leads in all the other regions, that is to say, everywhere that matters.

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