In a preview of tonight's foreign policy debate, Politico nicely summarizes the domestic situation:
[I]n private conversations, the two campaigns agree on the state of the race as of this weekend: Obama has the edge right now because it appears he’s up, albeit narrowly, throughout the Midwest: Iowa, Wisconsin and, most importantly, Ohio....
At the same time, Romney is doing better than ever in Florida, is a slight favorite in Colorado and is back to near-even in Virginia.
Which, for Romney, is all well and good, except that a "Midwest swing-state sweep" for Obama "makes it almost impossible to chart a Romney win," adds Politico.
We've only two weeks to go, and though that authentic Electoral College landslide which many, including myself, once predicted for Obama now seems out of reach, many of the same prognosticators, including myself, do hereby redefine "landslide" to mean 270 or better, notwithstanding better's slightness.
Why not? If George Orwell Mitt Romney can twist his greater-deficit-detonation plan into a deficit-reduction scheme, what's a little Jeffersonian cheating in Electoral College math? It neither picks our pockets nor breaks our legs.
True, Romney is due for another cretinous gaffe which, along with his other political pathologies, any judicious electorate would rightly interpret as yet another sign of his profound unsuitability for the presidency. It's been a week since his (self-)electrifying gotcha-ism on Libya. Mitt is way overdue for another slug in the foot. But, let's be realistic. Two years of Mitt's cognitive blundering and a soul-sapping ethical vacuum that would make Lucifer envious couldn't possibly compare unfavorably to a mere 90 minutes of Obama's sleepwalking, hence the electorate would undoubtedly dimiss any additional Romney gaffe-explosions tonight.