Political Wire's latest swing-state roundup:
Colo: Romney 47%, Obama 46% (Reuters/Ipsos)
Colo: Obama 50%, Romney 46% (PPP)
Flor: Obama 48%, Romney 46% (Reuters/Ipsos)
Iowa: Obama 49%, Romney 45% (Gravis)
Nev: Obama 50%, Romney 44% (Mellman)
NH: Obama 50%, Romney 44% (N.E. College)
Ohio: Obama 47%, Romney 45% (Reuters/Ipsos)
Virg: Obama 49%, Romney 44% (Reuters/Ipsos)
Obama, seven of eight.
CNN, Chuck Todd, Mark Halperin: All together now, "The race is tied! Romney has momentum!"
Posted by: Turgidson | November 02, 2012 at 03:54 PM
"Toss up, toss up, toss up!" Repeat until Tuesday at midnight.
Posted by: W Caulfield | November 02, 2012 at 04:58 PM
I'm surprised there hasn't been any shoutouts to Sam Wang and his Princeton group. He's pegged the Bayesian probability of an Obama victory at 99.5%. Based on an aggregation of the state polls, he's projecting 319 electoral votes for Obama. No doubt his final projection will be even larger. He called the exact EV in 2004 and was off by only one EV in 2008.
Posted by: Amon | November 02, 2012 at 06:20 PM