Just below Political Wire's linked-to headline, "Rove Predicts Romney Win"--a fascinating little propaganda piece that casts "desperate Democrats" as "hanging their hopes" on a singular Ohio poll--there are two separate aggregations of the most recent swing-state polling, which, below, I've combined:
Colo: Obama 50%, Romney 47% (We Ask America)
Colo: Romney 46%, Obama 45% (Reuters/Ipsos)
Colo: Romney 50%, Obama 47% (Rasmussen)
Ohio: Obama 50%, Romney 45% (Quinnipiac)
Ohio: Obama 50%, Romney 45% (PPP)
Ohio: Obama 48%, Romney 46% (Univ of Cin.)
Ohio: Obama 48%, Romney 45% (Reuters/Ipsos)
Ohio: Obama 50%, Romney 44% (Newsmax/Zogby)
Fla: Obama 48%, Romney 47% (Quinnipiac)
Fla: Romney 50%, Obama 47% (Gravis)
Fla: Romney 50%, Obama 49% (We Ask America)
Fla: Obama 47%, Romney 47% (Reuters/Ipsos)
Fla: Obama 47%, Romney 47% (Newsmax/Zogby)
Ia: Obama 50%, Romney 45% (PPP)
Ia: Romney 45%, Obama 44% (Univ of Iowa)
Ia: Obama 49%, Romney 47% (We Ask America)
Ia: Obama 50%, Romney 44% (NBC/WSJ/Marist)
Mich: Obama 48%, Romney 45% (Detroit News)
Mich: Obama 53%, Romney 45% (PPP)
Mich: Obama 48%, Romney 42% (EPIC-MRA)
Nev: Obama 50%, Romney 46% (SurveyUSA)
NH: Obama 49%, Romney 47% (NBC/WSJ/Marist)
NC: Obama 49%, Romney 49% (PPP)
Penns: Obama 48%, Romney 44% (F&M)
Virg: Obama 49%, Romney 47% (Quinnipiac)
Virg: Romney 49%, Obama 44% (Roanoke)
Virg: Obama 48%, Romney 46% (Reuters/Ipsos)
Virg: Obama 49%, Romney 46% (PPP)
Virg: Romney 48%, Obama 47% (Newsmax/Zogby)
Wisc: Obama 51%, Romney 46% (PPP)
Wisc: Obama 51%, Romney 43% (Marquette Law)
Wisc: Obama 49%, Romney 46% (NBC/WSJ/Marist)
Wisc: Obama 49%, Romney 49% (Rasmussen)
That's 33 polls of 11 swing states, one of which is Ohio, polled by five different outfits, each one of which finds Obama ahead (on average, by 4.2 percent). Overall, Obama leads in 26 of these 33 polls.
It's more than a "propaganda piece" PM. It's Rove's attempt to lay the foundations of the "Obama stole the election" meme that will energize the RWNJ's for the next four years.
Posted by: shsavage | November 01, 2012 at 09:18 AM
Odds are shifting across the board. Some 3:1; some 3.5:1; a 4:1; a 4.5:1; and even a 5:1.
But they are no "Bush's Brain".
The only thing Rove is really good at is getting lots of wealthy people to spend hundreds of millions of dallars through his company so he can take a percentage cut.
http://www.oddschecker.com/specials/politics-and-election/us-presidential-election/winner
Posted by: Robert Lipscomb | November 01, 2012 at 09:35 AM
you're correct, SH!
that will be the drum that FEAUX will beat for the next 4 years.
and the clueless Repugnitants are so primed to believe anything other than the fact that the massive deception they've been spewing since RUSH started lying is by now wearing off.
Posted by: hector | November 01, 2012 at 09:38 AM
Asses are being covered as we speak. Scarborough and many others are heaping disdain on Silver and his methodology. Their gut pundit instincts and inability to understand either math or the electoral college make the default position that this is still a fifty-fifty race the safe prediction. Well there are two candidates, barring the marginal ones, and one of these candidates is going to win and the popular vote is going to break near fifty percent so..it must be a flip of the coin thing. I would so love to play high stakes poker with these clowns.
Posted by: Peter G | November 01, 2012 at 09:57 AM
I must take the opportunity, in this friendly forum, to express the following civically dysfunctional yet irrepressible sentiment:
I just can't wait until next week to gleefully, spitefully, mockingly GLOAT in any and all possible fora over President Obama's reelection.
Posted by: Chad | November 01, 2012 at 01:01 PM
This is all part of the Rove playbook. In every election since I have become aware of his existence Rove *ALWAYS* predicts huge Republican victory in the final week of the campaign.
Hell, this is the guy who sent Bush to California in 2000 as part of his "Bush in a landslide" narrative.
Posted by: Chris Andersen | November 01, 2012 at 01:19 PM