Here's Nate Silver's Halloween treat for Mitt Romney. Really, Mitt, it's no trick:
Obama continues to hold the lead in the vast majority of polls in Iowa, Nevada, Ohio and Wisconsin, the states that represent his path of least resistance toward winning the Electoral College.
I particularly enjoyed this dig at the ponderous punditocracy:
I think describing the race as a "toss-up" reflects an uninformed interpretation of the evidence, but there is surely room to debate how much of a favorite Mr. Obama is.
Silver's concluding clause is only a recognition of reality. Nothing, of course, is ever over until it's over. But for such a broad swath of the commentariat to persist in characterizing the presidential race as close, or a toss-up, or anyone's guess is, at this point, either a deliberate misinterpretation or just plain ignorant.