Nate Silver's latest aggregation is of 21 battleground state polls, 16 of which have Obama ahead, two have Romney leading (Colo. and Fla.), and three are tied. Ohio is polled by four different organizations; all show an Obama lead, an average of 2.25 percent. In Pennsylvania, "the forecast model puts Mr. Obama’s chances at better than 95 percent."
Of the latter, Princeton's Sam Wang writes, "A few days ago, the word was that Team Romney was buying ads in Minnesota and Pennsylvania. If he wins either of those states I will eat a bug."
Wang's overall forecast of the popular vote: Obama, +2.1 +/- 1.1%; "I estimate Romney's chance of winning the popular vote at 6%, odds of 16-1 against."
If you were unfortunate enough to see "Meet the Press" earlier today, the above might come as shocking news. I caught only bits of it myself, but what I did see was dominated by America's two greatest bores, Tom Brokaw and Joe Scarborough, both of whom goofily prattled on about this, our close, very close presidential race. You know, the one in which the challenger has a 6 percent Wangish chance of winning the popular vote, thereby righteously swamping Obama's 307 Silver-predicted Electoral College votes.