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February 08, 2013

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I am nostruck so much by how wrong they were (that is just being human), as I am by how sincerely they believed in spite of the hard data in front of them.

In a weird way, Morris is on point and accurate. Apparently, they adjusted their modeling assumptions for voter turnout for all the demographic groups - because they, really, really, REALLY believed that.

After that, the projections were all sunshine and magic unicorns.

This reminds me of when I learned that my father is Santa Claus. I'm still not over that.

They dismissed the polls in Obama's favor because the poll respondents had a liberal bias.

Also, Peggy Noonan saw some Romney yard signs, which is always a sign of unbridled enthusiasm and imminent triumph.

The GOP always thinks the voting blocs that hate them would actually love them if they just woke up, as Queen Ann Romney might say.

I think Morris was sure they would win for the same reason Karl Rove was sure. They both knew "the fix" was on and the results would be the same as the last time they fixed the election. What they did not count on was the fix being un-fixed.

Neither insight nor humility are in Morris' make up. He seems to be unaware of how repulsive he sounds when he writes that when republicans won in 2010, he thought things had returned to "normal." His definition of normal seems to be a government in the hands of a republican majority. This doesn't account for those of us who don't think that a republican majority in Congress "means that things have returned to normal." I would argue that it means the opposite, because republicans have the tendency to impose their beliefs on others through the legislation they enact, and imo, there's nothing "normal" about this in a nation as diverse as ours.

So, Morris thinks that Latinos, women, and gays "want" to be republicans but the party won't let them. Morris misses the picture on this one, too. He and the party members should be asking themselves why these and other groups of Americans are running away from the GOP as fast as they can, but this would require serious introspection and facing some very unpleasant truths about the party. The recent history of the GOP since the 1980s has shown that whenever the party attempts to "rebrand" itself, nothing changes--the policies are still the same, and this is the problem.

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