Last Friday, Chris Matthews and his guests were frolicking in another of Hardball’s analysis-free zones. If you’re a regular viewer of MSNBC’s FOXy-R-Us fare, then perhaps you were as dismayed as I by that night’s “Tom DeLay segment.” The preceding is in quotation marks because what opened as a segment on DeLay instantly flipped into -- what else? -- a bash-the-Democrats segment.
Matthews aired a tape of Tom explaining his troubles as purely a concoction of idea-less Democrats who only attack, attack, attack. But rather than analyze DeLay’s defense strategy, Matthews’ panel -- a clueless Norah O’Donnell, the ever-balanced David Ignatius and the National Review’s “leftist-conspiracy” specialist Byron York -- instead latched onto the conservative consensus that DeLay is absolutely right: Democrats have no ideas, no plan, no self-defined future. They’re doomed to failure, chimed the panel, as long as they simply rely on attacks and forego the promulgation of a grand, ruling vision.
Now bear with me on this segue.
The next day the New York Times published an increasingly standard analysis of the Iraqi insurgency, which, as previously reported in Newsday, is being judged a “winning” insurgency despite an overwhelming occupational force. Keep Democrats in mind as you read these brief excerpts from the two publications:
“The insurgents in Iraq are showing little interest in … articulating a governing program or even a unified ideology or cause beyond expelling the Americans. They have put forward no single charismatic leader, developed no alternative government or political wing…. [One expert] said the insurgency could still be sorting itself out.”
Despite the insurgency’s apparent unintelligibility, another expert said, “Everything we thought we knew about the insurgency obviously is flawed.” In other words, there is indeed a winning, strategic method to its seeming madness of incoherence.
Replace the word “insurgency” with “Democrats” and you wind up with a fairly accurate description of today’s Democratic strategy. Then replace “we” with “network analysts.” Like the modern Iraqi situation -- where what “we thought we knew … obviously is flawed” -- what happened in the early 1990s in American politics became clear to analysts only after the fact. And the Republicans’ 1993-94 strategy was, peacefully speaking, the same as that of Iraqi insurgents -- attack, attack, attack.
Forget the old “Contract with America” as a grand and specific vision. When you reread it you rediscover it said little that was intelligible to the average voter except “We favor change.” It was an overall impression thing, that’s all: The Dems are a bunch of outdated, big-government losers and we’re not. Period.
In fact, the Contract’s essence merely comported with Karl Rove’s Edict Number Eight among his “12-Step Program to Dry-Drunk Power”: to wit, “Always position your opponent as an agent of the status quo, your guy as the candidate for change.”
That’s really all the Republicans did prior to the 1994 election. Again, forget the Contract. Rather, a Boston Globe article summed up Republican strategy in a March 21 headline of that year: “Conservatives Hitting Hard at Clinton Policies.” The article went on to say that the GOP was mostly chewing the electoral carpet over the Democratic president’s foreign policy, his “liberal judicial nominees” and his (Republican-ballyhooed) Whitewater sins.
In short, Republicans followed the modern Iraqi insurgency’s singular and quite effective strategy of attack, attack, attack -- which is all the Democrats are now doing as well.
If Chris Matthews & Guests had paused to apply some actual analysis and historical analogy to their discussion -- rather than just trot out the tired, bandwagon observation that Democrats have no grand scheme -- they might have seen at least a semblance of a forest through the trees.
But of course that’s not what cable-network analysts are there for. They’re only there to pile on.
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